Cap Contracts and Assets

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NHL Cap Intelligence Dashboard

AI-Powered Contract & Salary Cap Analysis Platform

📊 MoneyPuck + PuckPedia Data | 🏒 32 Teams · 700+ Contracts | 📅 Updated February 2026

🎯 Chief Strategy Officer Brief — Cap Model AI Dashboard

Strategic Intelligence Platform · Scope & Execution Plan

The Cap Intelligence Dashboard is an AI-generated business intelligence platform designed to give an NHL front office a decisive analytical edge in contract negotiation, roster construction, and long-term cap planning. At full scale, this system will house every active NHL contract across all 32 teams — over 700 player deals — benchmarked against peer-group comparables by position, cap hit tier, and production metrics. It will include projected contract values for every pending RFA and UFA using historical signing data, age curves, and market inflation models. Every team’s cap situation will be mapped across a 10-year rolling window (2025–2035), showing committed dollars, projected space, dead cap exposure, and trade deadline flexibility. A full historical archive of every past contract signed since the 2005 CBA will power the regression models that identify which deals outperform, which collapse, and why — giving the front office pattern-matched intelligence no other team has at this depth. This is not a static report; it is a living analytical engine that updates in real-time with game data, trade activity, and injury reports.

Execution Plan

I will build this system in four phases: Phase 1 (Current) — Vancouver Canucks TOP 10 contract analysis with 5 NHL peer comparables per player, production deviation scoring, and color-coded value verdicts, proving the analytical framework at team level. Phase 2 — Expand to full Canucks roster (50 contracts), add projected UFA/RFA valuations, integrate PuckPedia cap data with MoneyPuck advanced stats, and build the 2025–2035 cap projection model. Phase 3 — Scale to all 32 NHL teams, creating a league-wide contract database with cross-team trade scenario modeling, deadline asset identification, and draft capital tracking. Phase 4 — Deploy the historical contract archive (2005–present), train the AI valuation model on 20 years of signing data, and deliver predictive contract projections that account for age, position, usage, linemate effects, and cap inflation. The deliverable is a proprietary intelligence tool that no other organization in the NHL possesses at this level of depth, speed, or analytical precision.

700+
Active Contracts
32
Team Cap Models
200+
Pending RFA/UFA
20 yrs
Historical Archive
10 yr
Cap Projections
Phase 1 — Proof of Concept
Vancouver Canucks · TOP 10 Contracts vs. Peer Group
5 Comparables Per Player

📋 2026 Draft Capital — Verified (7 Picks)

1st (VAN)
Own — Lottery
1st (MIN)
Via Hughes
2nd (VAN)
Own
2nd (SJS)
Via Sherwood
4th
Own
5th
Own
6th
Own
3rd
To CGY
7th
To NYR
#1
Elias Pettersson
Center | Age 27 | Full NMC
$11.6M × 6 yrs
45
GP
13
Goals
33
Points
0.73
P/GP
60
82-Pace
2.84
Pts/$M
5 Comparables — Centers $10-14M
Player Team Cap GP G PTS P/GP Pace Pts/$M
Connor McDavid EDM $12.5M 54 33 92 1.70 140 7.36
Nathan MacKinnon COL $12.6M 51 38 88 1.73 142 6.98
Leon Draisaitl EDM $14.0M 51 30 74 1.45 119 5.29
Jack Eichel VGK $10.0M 45 19 61 1.36 111 6.10
Auston Matthews TOR $13.25M 47 26 45 0.96 79 3.40
COMP AVG — $12.47M 50 29 72 1.44 118 5.83
PETTERSSON VAN $11.6M 45 13 33 0.73 60 2.84
-58 pts
82-Pace
-49%
P/GP Gap
-2.99
Pts/$M
-51%
Value
⚠️ WHY UNDERPERFORMING?
  • Production collapse: 60-pt pace vs 92-pt career high
  • Lost ecosystem: Miller traded (Jan ’25), Hughes traded (Dec ’25)
  • Shooting: 9.2% (career 13.8%)
  • Team: 17-30-5 record
💰 $11.6M producing like $6M player = $5M dead cap
⛔ DISASTER — 51% below comps
#2
Filip Hronek
Defense | Age 28
$7.25M × 6 yrs
53
GP
5
Goals
31
Points
0.58
P/GP
48
82-Pace
4.28
Pts/$M
5 Comparables — Defensemen $6-9M
Player Team Cap GP G PTS P/GP Pace Pts/$M
Quinn Hughes MIN $7.85M 48 4 49 1.02 84 6.24
Miro Heiskanen DAL $8.45M 51 7 41 0.80 66 4.85
Moritz Seider DET $8.55M 54 7 36 0.67 55 4.21
Noah Hanifin VGK $7.88M 42 2 20 0.48 39 2.54
Jonas Brodin MIN $6.00M 42 3 15 0.36 29 2.50
COMP AVG — $7.75M 47 5 32 0.67 55 4.07
HRONEK VAN $7.25M 53 5 31 0.58 48 4.28
-7 pts
82-Pace
-13%
P/GP Gap
+0.21
Pts/$M
+5%
Value
⚡ CONTEXT
  • Hughes gone: Lost PP1 partner. xGF% 45%
  • Comp context: Hanifin (2.54) and Brodin (2.50) worse
  • Actually ABOVE comps in Pts/$M at lower cap hit
⚖️ FAIR — On par with market
#3
Brock Boeser
Right Wing | Age 29
$7.25M × 6 yrs
50
GP
12
Goals
25
Points
0.50
P/GP
41
82-Pace
3.45
Pts/$M
5 Comparables — RW $6-9M
Player Team Cap GP G PTS P/GP Pace Pts/$M
Drake BathersonOTT$7.88M5019450.90745.71
Jesper BrattNJD$7.88M5312390.74604.95
Timo MeierNJD$8.80M4813270.56463.07
Pavel BuchnevichSTL$5.80M539280.53434.83
Patrick KaneDET$2.75M3910310.796511.27
COMP AVG—$6.62M4913340.70585.97
BOESERVAN$7.25M5012250.50413.45
-17 pts
82-Pace
-29%
P/GP Gap
-2.52
Pts/$M
-42%
Value
⚠️ WHY BELOW?
  • Lost his center: Miller traded, Pettersson slumping
  • Shooting slump: 12% (career 14.5%)
  • Note: Meier at $8.8M (3.07) is even worse
⚠️ POOR — 42% below comps
#4
Jake DeBrusk
Left Wing | Age 29
$5.5M × 5 yrs
52
GP
13
Goals
27
Points
0.52
P/GP
43
82-Pace
4.91
Pts/$M
5 Comparables — LW $4-7M
PlayerTeamCapGPGPTSP/GPPacePts/$M
Tyler BertuzziCHI$5.50M5025390.78647.09
Teuvo TeravainenCHI$5.40M4610220.48394.07
Evander KaneVAN$5.12M529240.46384.68
Michael BuntingPIT$4.50M5212290.56466.44
Kirill KaprizovMIN$9.00M5429641.19977.11
COMP AVG—$5.90M5117360.69575.88
DeBRUSKVAN$5.5M5213270.52434.91
-14 pts
82-Pace
-25%
P/GP Gap
-0.97
Pts/$M
-16%
Value
✅ ACCEPTABLE
  • -16% is borderline fair/good. xGoals (24.16) solid underlying
  • Trade candidate — could fetch 1st from contender
✅ GOOD — Within market range
#5
Evander Kane
Left Wing | Age 34 | UFA 2026
$5.125M — EXPIRING
52
GP
9
Goals
24
Points
0.46
P/GP
38
82-Pace
4.68
Pts/$M
-14 pts
82-Pace
-27%
P/GP Gap
-0.74
Pts/$M
-14%
Value
🔄 PRIME DEADLINE ASSET: Expiring UFA July 2026 — low risk rental. 50% retention = $2.56M cap hit attractive. Expected return: 2nd round pick + prospect.
⚖️ FAIR — Trade deadline chip
#6
Marco Rossi
Center | Age 24 | Via Hughes Trade | IR
$5.0M × 2 yrs
25
GP
5
Goals
15
Points
0.60
P/GP
49
82-Pace
3.00
Pts/$M
-14 pts
82-Pace
-21%
P/GP Gap
-3.31
Pts/$M
-52%*
Value
⚠️ SMALL SAMPLE — IR: Only 25 games — deviation inflated. 49-pt pace when healthy = fair for $5M. Age 24, still developing. Hughes trade crown jewel.
✅ GOOD — Fair value IF healthy
#7
Conor Garland
Right Wing | Age 30
$4.95M × 1 yr
42
GP
7
Goals
22
Points
0.52
P/GP
43
82-Pace
4.44
Pts/$M
-15 pts
82-Pace
-26%
P/GP Gap
-1.53
Pts/$M
-26%
Value
xGF% 44%: Team outchanced with him on ice. Career 45-50 pt guy on 43-pt pace. Meier at $8.8M (3.07) far worse value.
⚠️ POOR — 26% below market
#8
Marcus Pettersson
Defense | Age 30 | Via PIT Trade
$4.025M × 1 yr
53
GP
1
Goals
10
Points
0.19
P/GP
15
82-Pace
2.48
Pts/$M
-17 pts
82-Pace
-51%
P/GP Gap
-1.10
Pts/$M
-31%
Value
🚨 xGF% 38%: Among WORST on team. CF% 40% — team loses shot share badly. 1 goal in 53 games = zero offense.
⛔ DISASTER — Worst underlying metrics
#9
Tyler Myers
Defense | Age 36 | UFA 2026
$3.0M — EXPIRING
53
GP
1
Goals
8
Points
0.15
P/GP
12
82-Pace
2.67
Pts/$M
-20 pts
82-Pace
-63%
P/GP Gap
-0.87
Pts/$M
-25%
Value
🔄 DEADLINE CHIP: Expiring UFA. xGF% 37% terrible. 50% retention = $1.5M cap hit. Expected return: 4th-5th round pick.
⚠️ POOR — But expiring = trade asset
#10
David Kampf
Center | Age 31 | Defensive Specialist
$2.4M × 1 yr
30
GP
2
Goals
6
Points
0.20
P/GP
16
82-Pace
2.50
Pts/$M
-41 pts
82-Pace
-71%
P/GP Gap
-3.74
Pts/$M
-60%**
Value
⚠️ CONTEXT MATTERS: Comps wrong (O’Reilly/Hischier are offensive). Kampf is defensive 4C. PK specialist, faceoffs. $2.4M for 4C = market rate. 15-20 pt guy on 16-pt pace = meeting expectations.
⚖️ FAIR — Role-appropriate contract

📊 TOP 10 SUMMARY

# Player Cap Pts/$M Comp Avg Gap Verdict
1Elias Pettersson$11.6M2.845.83-51%DISASTER
2Filip Hronek$7.25M4.284.07+5%FAIR
3Brock Boeser$7.25M3.455.97-42%POOR
4Jake DeBrusk$5.5M4.915.88-16%GOOD
5Evander Kane$5.125M4.685.42-14%FAIR
6Marco Rossi$5.0M3.00*6.31-52%*GOOD (IR)
7Conor Garland$4.95M4.445.97-26%POOR
8Marcus Pettersson$4.025M2.483.58-31%DISASTER
9Tyler Myers$3.0M2.673.54-25%POOR
10David Kampf$2.4M2.506.24-60%**FAIR

* Rossi: Small sample (25 GP, IR) | ** Kampf: Defensive specialist, not paid for offense

📎 DATA SOURCES & METHODOLOGY

Contract data sourced from PuckPedia.com. Advanced stats (xGF%, CF%, xGoals) from MoneyPuck.com. Comparables selected by position, cap hit tier, and contract structure. Deviation metrics calculated against 5-player peer group averages. Pts/$M = (Points ÷ Games Played × 82) ÷ Cap Hit in Millions. Value Gap = (Player Pts/$M – Comp Avg Pts/$M) ÷ Comp Avg Pts/$M.

Vancouver Canucks — NHL Cap Intelligence Dashboard

Phase 1: TOP 10 Contract Analysis | February 2026

Data: MoneyPuck + PuckPedia | AI-Generated Analysis

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